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Definitive Analysis

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Palmboomen Cultuur Maatschappij Mopoli (Palmeraies De Mopoli) N.V. (MOP.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$490.21 - $1,039.60$695.90
Multi-Stage$349.36 - $382.05$365.41
Blended Fair Value$530.65
Current Price$270.00
Upside96.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%113.40%62.380.000.000.030.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--23.10%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.490.310.18
Cash Retained (M)2.462.462.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.49-0.31-0.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.972.152.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.090.090.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.8922.8524.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.8922.8524.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.9122.8724.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$490.21$695.90$1,039.60
Upside / Downside81.56%157.74%285.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.462.622.792.973.173.373.47
Payout Ratio0.08%18.06%36.05%54.03%72.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.000.471.011.612.283.043.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)0.430.430.43
Year 2 PV (M)0.820.830.85
Year 3 PV (M)1.171.211.24
Year 4 PV (M)1.501.561.62
Year 5 PV (M)1.801.891.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)27.1928.5129.87
Equity Value (M)32.9134.4235.99
Shares Outstanding (M)0.090.090.09
Fair Value$349.36$365.41$382.05
Upside / Downside29.39%35.34%41.50%

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