Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Melisron Ltd. (MLSR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$795.65 - $2,240.11$1,238.76
Multi-Stage$820.06 - $899.47$859.02
Blended Fair Value$1,048.89
Current Price$400.00
Upside162.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.63%8.06%7.997.993.780.001.265.045.044.944.524.10
YoY Growth--0.00%111.11%0.00%-100.00%-75.00%0.00%2.13%9.30%10.26%11.43%
Dividend Yield--2.76%2.97%1.68%0.00%0.68%3.65%2.74%3.53%2.24%3.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,577.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)360.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,217.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)315.40197.13118.28
Cash Retained (M)1,217.001,217.001,217.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-315.40-197.13-118.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)901.601,019.881,098.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.5947.5947.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.9521.4323.09
LTM Dividend per Share7.567.567.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.9521.4323.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.5129.0030.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate3.25%4.25%5.25%
Fair Value$795.65$1,238.76$2,240.11
Upside / Downside98.91%209.69%460.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,577.001,644.001,713.861,786.681,862.591,941.731,999.98
Payout Ratio22.83%36.26%49.70%63.13%76.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)360.00596.16851.731,127.951,426.101,747.561,849.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate3.25%4.25%5.25%
Year 1 PV (M)553.42558.78564.14
Year 2 PV (M)733.99748.28762.70
Year 3 PV (M)902.34928.82955.80
Year 4 PV (M)1,059.081,100.711,143.55
Year 5 PV (M)1,204.761,264.251,326.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,571.5236,278.4538,052.15
Equity Value (M)39,025.1240,879.2842,804.40
Shares Outstanding (M)47.5947.5947.59
Fair Value$820.06$859.02$899.47
Upside / Downside105.01%114.76%124.87%

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