Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Midwich Group plc (MIDW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.23 - $58.35$43.70
Multi-Stage$7.56 - $8.26$7.90
Blended Fair Value$25.80
Current Price$2.11
Upside1,122.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.76%0.00%0.160.140.100.050.000.120.110.090.010.00
YoY Growth--14.26%37.44%95.78%0.00%-100.00%9.31%26.67%636.53%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.62%3.38%2.47%0.85%0.00%2.15%2.20%1.72%0.50%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.133.832.30
Cash Retained (M)7.937.937.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.13-3.83-2.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.804.105.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.37104.37104.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Fair Value$15.23$43.70$58.35
Upside / Downside621.90%1,971.06%2,665.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.6432.6134.7136.9439.3241.8443.10
Payout Ratio74.12%77.30%80.47%83.65%86.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.7125.2127.9330.9034.1437.6639.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Year 1 PV (M)23.3323.5523.77
Year 2 PV (M)23.9224.3724.83
Year 3 PV (M)24.4825.1825.90
Year 4 PV (M)25.0325.9926.98
Year 5 PV (M)25.5526.7828.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)666.83699.06732.53
Equity Value (M)789.13824.93862.07
Shares Outstanding (M)104.37104.37104.37
Fair Value$7.56$7.90$8.26
Upside / Downside258.33%274.59%291.45%

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