Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Magic Software Enterprises Ltd. (MGIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.96 - $162.21$152.01
Multi-Stage$22.29 - $24.36$23.31
Blended Fair Value$87.66
Current Price$20.41
Upside329.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.71%1.44%0.200.630.510.440.250.300.280.190.160.16
YoY Growth---67.48%23.98%14.05%74.20%-16.44%10.49%44.71%20.59%-0.35%-10.29%
Dividend Yield--1.57%5.28%3.71%2.57%1.67%3.79%3.25%2.35%2.03%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.015.013.00
Cash Retained (M)12.4112.4112.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.01-5.01-3.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.407.409.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.1049.1049.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$51.96$152.01$162.21
Upside / Downside154.57%644.80%694.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.0542.6545.4248.3751.5254.8756.51
Payout Ratio69.02%73.22%77.41%81.61%85.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.6431.2335.1639.4844.2149.3852.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28.9629.2329.51
Year 2 PV (M)30.2430.8131.40
Year 3 PV (M)31.4832.3833.31
Year 4 PV (M)32.6933.9535.24
Year 5 PV (M)33.8635.5037.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)937.19982.461,029.46
Equity Value (M)1,094.421,144.331,196.10
Shares Outstanding (M)49.1049.1049.10
Fair Value$22.29$23.31$24.36
Upside / Downside9.21%14.19%19.36%

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