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Definitive Analysis

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Migdal Insurance and Financial Holdings Ltd. (MGDL.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.18 - $18.65$15.20
Multi-Stage$18.05 - $19.85$18.94
Blended Fair Value$17.07
Current Price$11.49
Upside48.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-30.93%-18.00%0.050.050.000.040.000.330.060.100.000.19
YoY Growth---3.51%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%430.30%-40.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--0.78%1.07%0.00%0.78%0.00%18.04%1.79%2.80%0.00%7.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,392.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,362.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)278.41174.01104.40
Cash Retained (M)1,362.041,362.041,362.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-278.41-174.01-104.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,083.641,188.041,257.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,048.721,048.721,048.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.031.131.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.031.131.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.061.161.23
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate-0.27%0.73%1.73%
Fair Value$12.18$15.20$18.65
Upside / Downside5.97%32.28%62.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,392.041,402.141,412.311,422.551,432.861,443.251,486.55
Payout Ratio2.16%19.72%37.29%54.86%72.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.00276.56526.69780.441,037.841,298.931,375.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate-0.27%0.73%1.73%
Year 1 PV (M)252.54255.08257.61
Year 2 PV (M)439.19448.04456.98
Year 3 PV (M)594.27612.33630.75
Year 4 PV (M)721.64751.03781.30
Year 5 PV (M)824.76866.95910.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,102.1516,925.8317,782.88
Equity Value (M)18,934.5619,859.2520,820.36
Shares Outstanding (M)1,048.721,048.721,048.72
Fair Value$18.05$18.94$19.85
Upside / Downside57.14%64.81%72.79%

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