Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.04 - $0.08$0.06
Multi-Stage$0.03 - $0.03$0.03
Blended Fair Value$0.04
Current Price$0.02
Upside112.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.97%17.33%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-98.96%-24.10%8.97%61.66%17.67%-0.93%
Dividend Yield--1.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,243.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)295.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)947.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)248.64155.4093.24
Cash Retained (M)947.51947.51947.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-248.64-155.40-93.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)698.87792.11854.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)596,966.56596,966.56596,966.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.00
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$0.04$0.06$0.08
Upside / Downside93.75%175.06%310.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,243.221,324.031,410.091,501.741,599.361,703.321,754.42
Payout Ratio23.79%37.03%50.27%63.51%76.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)295.71490.27708.87953.821,227.621,532.981,622.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)441.52445.70449.89
Year 2 PV (M)574.90585.85596.90
Year 3 PV (M)696.63716.63737.01
Year 4 PV (M)807.44838.50870.44
Year 5 PV (M)908.02951.88997.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,732.9714,396.2815,084.97
Equity Value (M)17,161.4917,934.8418,736.63
Shares Outstanding (M)596,966.56596,966.56596,966.56
Fair Value$0.03$0.03$0.03
Upside / Downside42.59%49.01%55.68%

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