Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Københavns Lufthavne A/S (KBHL.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,203.27 - $1,802.62$1,487.47
Multi-Stage$1,740.15 - $1,909.82$1,823.36
Blended Fair Value$1,655.42
Current Price$6,540.00
Upside-74.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-44.78%-26.02%6.119.877.660.000.00118.96157.56155.09153.32129.04
YoY Growth---38.16%28.81%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-24.50%1.59%1.15%18.82%3.77%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.18%0.12%0.00%0.00%2.41%2.67%2.78%2.55%3.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,092.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)229.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)863.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)218.40136.5081.90
Cash Retained (M)863.00863.00863.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-218.40-136.50-81.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)644.60726.50781.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.707.707.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share83.7494.38101.47
LTM Dividend per Share29.7529.7529.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share83.7494.38101.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend113.49124.13131.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-0.31%0.69%1.69%
Fair Value$1,203.27$1,487.47$1,802.62
Upside / Downside-81.60%-77.26%-72.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,092.001,099.551,107.151,114.811,122.511,130.271,164.18
Payout Ratio20.97%34.78%48.58%62.39%76.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)229.00382.39537.88695.51855.291,017.251,076.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-0.31%0.69%1.69%
Year 1 PV (M)347.03350.51353.99
Year 2 PV (M)443.01451.94460.96
Year 3 PV (M)519.87535.67551.79
Year 4 PV (M)580.19603.82628.17
Year 5 PV (M)626.25658.29691.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,878.4211,435.0812,014.30
Equity Value (M)13,394.7614,035.3214,700.85
Shares Outstanding (M)7.707.707.70
Fair Value$1,740.15$1,823.36$1,909.82
Upside / Downside-73.39%-72.12%-70.80%

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