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Jubilee Enterprise Public Company Limited (JUBILE.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.22 - $4.49$3.85
Multi-Stage$9.26 - $10.23$9.73
Blended Fair Value$6.79
Current Price$7.25
Upside-6.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.36%-4.54%0.440.600.750.590.670.760.700.570.500.77
YoY Growth---26.67%-20.00%27.12%-11.94%-11.85%8.57%22.82%13.99%-35.05%9.98%
Dividend Yield--5.40%3.70%3.00%2.52%2.41%6.18%4.83%2.38%2.76%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.5612.237.34
Cash Retained (M)55.9955.9955.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.56-12.23-7.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.4343.7748.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)174.27174.27174.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-6.54%-5.54%-4.54%
Fair Value$3.22$3.85$4.49
Upside / Downside-55.63%-46.88%-38.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.8292.4087.2882.4577.8873.5775.78
Payout Ratio42.76%52.21%61.65%71.10%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.8248.2453.8158.6262.7466.2170.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-6.54%-5.54%-4.54%
Year 1 PV (M)44.8145.2945.77
Year 2 PV (M)46.4447.4448.45
Year 3 PV (M)47.0048.5250.08
Year 4 PV (M)46.7248.7550.85
Year 5 PV (M)45.8148.3150.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,382.411,457.971,536.79
Equity Value (M)1,613.181,696.281,782.85
Shares Outstanding (M)174.27174.27174.27
Fair Value$9.26$9.73$10.23
Upside / Downside27.68%34.25%41.11%

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