Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Athens Medical C.S.A. (IATR.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.53 - $1.01$0.72
Multi-Stage$1.08 - $1.19$1.14
Blended Fair Value$0.93
Current Price$1.80
Upside-48.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS113.45%39.94%0.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2,732.79%0.00%-100.00%-42.55%261.54%-51.85%47.27%57.14%-39.66%-3.33%
Dividend Yield--1.32%0.04%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.02%0.09%0.04%0.07%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.590.370.22
Cash Retained (M)1.221.221.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.59-0.37-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.630.851.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.7486.7486.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate5.60%5.60%5.60%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Fair Value$0.53$0.72$1.01
Upside / Downside-70.74%-59.97%-43.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.952.993.033.083.123.163.26
Payout Ratio58.56%64.85%71.13%77.42%83.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.731.942.162.382.612.853.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.60%5.60%5.60%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Year 1 PV (M)1.821.841.86
Year 2 PV (M)1.901.941.97
Year 3 PV (M)1.962.022.08
Year 4 PV (M)2.022.102.19
Year 5 PV (M)2.062.172.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)84.1688.4392.88
Equity Value (M)93.9298.50103.26
Shares Outstanding (M)86.7486.7486.74
Fair Value$1.08$1.14$1.19
Upside / Downside-39.84%-36.91%-33.86%

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