Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. (HPS-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,127.19 - $1,328.02$1,244.55
Multi-Stage$768.14 - $843.10$804.92
Blended Fair Value$1,024.73
Current Price$125.43
Upside716.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.70%15.28%0.970.550.380.340.340.280.240.240.240.24
YoY Growth--77.26%43.72%13.64%0.40%21.48%16.64%0.32%0.04%0.04%0.25%
Dividend Yield--1.28%0.38%1.00%2.68%3.35%4.32%3.31%2.58%3.64%3.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.929.955.97
Cash Retained (M)66.5066.5066.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.92-9.95-5.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.5856.5560.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9211.9211.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.244.745.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.244.745.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.345.846.18
WACC / Discount Rate2.21%2.21%2.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,127.19$1,244.55$1,328.02
Upside / Downside798.66%892.23%958.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.5984.7690.2796.14102.39109.04112.31
Payout Ratio16.45%31.16%45.87%60.58%75.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.0926.4141.4158.2477.0998.14103.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.21%2.21%2.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.6025.8426.08
Year 2 PV (M)38.9039.6440.39
Year 3 PV (M)53.0354.5556.10
Year 4 PV (M)68.0370.6473.33
Year 5 PV (M)83.9487.9992.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,885.539,314.709,760.30
Equity Value (M)9,155.019,593.3610,048.40
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9211.9211.92
Fair Value$768.14$804.92$843.10
Upside / Downside512.41%541.73%572.17%

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