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Definitive Analysis

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Hoist Finance AB (publ) (HOFI.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - MortgagesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$632.44 - $2,283.97$2,009.34
Multi-Stage$287.56 - $314.72$300.89
Blended Fair Value$1,155.12
Current Price$99.50
Upside1,060.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.690.710.001.200.670.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-3.23%0.00%-100.00%77.93%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.80%2.88%0.00%1.56%0.86%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,004.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)748.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)200.80125.5075.30
Cash Retained (M)748.00748.00748.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-200.80-125.50-75.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)547.20622.50672.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.4287.4287.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.267.127.69
LTM Dividend per Share2.932.932.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.267.127.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.1910.0510.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$632.44$2,009.34$2,283.97
Upside / Downside535.62%1,919.43%2,195.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,004.001,069.261,138.761,212.781,291.611,375.571,416.83
Payout Ratio25.50%38.40%51.30%64.20%77.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.00410.58584.17778.60995.831,238.011,310.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)380.00383.60387.20
Year 2 PV (M)500.40509.93519.55
Year 3 PV (M)617.27634.99653.04
Year 4 PV (M)730.69758.79787.69
Year 5 PV (M)840.73881.34923.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,070.2523,136.2524,243.05
Equity Value (M)25,139.3326,304.8927,514.04
Shares Outstanding (M)87.4287.4287.42
Fair Value$287.56$300.89$314.72
Upside / Downside189.01%202.41%216.31%

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