Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HeadHunter Group PLC (HHRU.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$727.36 - $1,043.81$882.10
Multi-Stage$1,023.80 - $1,125.66$1,073.74
Blended Fair Value$977.92
Current Price$1,366.00
Upside-28.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172015
DPS0.66%0.00%62.8740.5736.8822.170.0060.830.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--54.97%10.00%66.34%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.60%1.78%1.43%1.19%0.00%3.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,294.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,294.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,058.99661.87397.12
Cash Retained (M)5,294.935,294.935,294.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,058.99-661.87-397.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,235.944,633.064,897.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.1251.1251.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share82.8690.6395.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share82.8690.6395.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.8690.6395.81
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Fair Value$727.36$882.10$1,043.81
Upside / Downside-46.75%-35.42%-23.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,294.935,277.035,259.195,241.415,223.705,206.045,362.22
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.00949.871,893.312,830.363,761.064,685.434,960.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Year 1 PV (M)855.62864.29872.96
Year 2 PV (M)1,536.231,567.531,599.15
Year 3 PV (M)2,068.692,132.232,197.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,476.172,578.102,683.14
Year 5 PV (M)2,778.682,922.383,071.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,623.2644,827.5647,122.13
Equity Value (M)52,338.6554,892.0957,546.40
Shares Outstanding (M)51.1251.1251.12
Fair Value$1,023.80$1,073.74$1,125.66
Upside / Downside-25.05%-21.40%-17.59%

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