Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gyldendal A/S (GYLD-A.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$354.37 - $521.94$434.79
Multi-Stage$645.27 - $708.85$676.44
Blended Fair Value$555.62
Current Price$318.00
Upside74.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.0020.0020.000.0020.0020.0020.0020.0020.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-0.01%-0.03%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%5.29%3.77%0.00%4.98%4.33%4.13%3.79%3.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.185.743.44
Cash Retained (M)25.7125.7125.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.18-5.74-3.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.5219.9722.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.011.011.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.3519.7622.03
LTM Dividend per Share20.0020.0020.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.3519.7622.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend36.3539.7642.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$354.37$434.79$521.94
Upside / Downside11.44%36.73%64.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.9245.4645.0044.5544.1143.6744.98
Payout Ratio44.02%53.21%62.41%71.61%80.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.2124.1928.0931.9035.6439.3041.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.1622.3922.61
Year 2 PV (M)23.5724.0624.55
Year 3 PV (M)24.5325.2926.06
Year 4 PV (M)25.1126.1527.22
Year 5 PV (M)25.3626.6828.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)531.36559.03587.84
Equity Value (M)652.09683.59716.34
Shares Outstanding (M)1.011.011.01
Fair Value$645.27$676.44$708.85
Upside / Downside102.92%112.72%122.91%

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