Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gerresheimer AG (GXI.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.19 - $25.62$17.25
Multi-Stage$14.01 - $15.38$14.68
Blended Fair Value$15.97
Current Price$45.14
Upside-64.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.89%4.26%1.321.311.141.141.141.141.051.012.690.94
YoY Growth--0.30%15.41%0.00%-0.16%-0.25%8.51%4.09%-62.43%186.52%8.27%
Dividend Yield--1.63%1.21%1.37%1.76%1.30%1.75%1.56%1.60%3.63%1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.672.921.75
Cash Retained (M)19.9719.9719.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.67-2.92-1.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3017.0518.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.5434.5434.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate2.67%3.67%4.67%
Fair Value$12.19$17.25$25.62
Upside / Downside-72.99%-61.78%-43.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.3524.2125.0926.0226.9727.9628.80
Payout Ratio14.49%29.59%44.70%59.80%74.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.387.1611.2215.5620.2025.1626.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate2.67%3.67%4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)6.626.686.75
Year 2 PV (M)9.579.769.94
Year 3 PV (M)12.2612.6212.99
Year 4 PV (M)14.7015.2815.88
Year 5 PV (M)16.9117.7518.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)423.98445.04466.92
Equity Value (M)484.04507.13531.11
Shares Outstanding (M)34.5434.5434.54
Fair Value$14.01$14.68$15.38
Upside / Downside-68.95%-67.47%-65.94%

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