Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Franchise Brands plc (FRAN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.94 - $5.26$2.98
Multi-Stage$1.37 - $1.49$1.43
Blended Fair Value$2.20
Current Price$1.50
Upside46.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.55%0.00%0.020.020.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--31.39%44.12%74.42%159.88%-12.84%40.95%97.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.44%1.09%0.61%0.45%0.27%0.24%0.33%0.20%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.141.961.18
Cash Retained (M)6.846.846.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.14-1.96-1.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.704.885.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.96193.96193.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1.94$2.98$5.26
Upside / Downside29.07%98.81%250.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.7116.7317.8218.9820.2121.5322.17
Payout Ratio56.44%63.15%69.86%76.58%83.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.8710.5712.4514.5316.8319.3720.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9.609.699.78
Year 2 PV (M)10.2810.4710.67
Year 3 PV (M)10.9011.2111.53
Year 4 PV (M)11.4711.9112.37
Year 5 PV (M)11.9912.5713.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)210.52220.68231.24
Equity Value (M)264.76276.54288.76
Shares Outstanding (M)193.96193.96193.96
Fair Value$1.37$1.43$1.49
Upside / Downside-9.00%-4.95%-0.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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