Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Flexdeal Simfe S.A. (FLEXD.LS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.90 - $2.88$2.36
Multi-Stage$3.85 - $4.24$4.04
Blended Fair Value$3.20
Current Price$4.90
Upside-34.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.120.050.030.140.070.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--122.23%55.95%-76.65%114.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.39%1.07%0.67%3.00%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.160.100.06
Cash Retained (M)0.500.500.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.16-0.10-0.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.340.400.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.643.643.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.190.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.90$2.36$2.88
Upside / Downside-61.15%-51.79%-41.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.810.800.790.780.780.770.79
Payout Ratio38.33%48.67%59.00%69.33%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.310.390.470.540.620.690.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.360.360.37
Year 2 PV (M)0.400.410.41
Year 3 PV (M)0.430.440.46
Year 4 PV (M)0.450.470.49
Year 5 PV (M)0.470.490.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)11.9412.5613.20
Equity Value (M)14.0414.7315.44
Shares Outstanding (M)3.643.643.64
Fair Value$3.85$4.04$4.24
Upside / Downside-21.33%-17.46%-13.44%

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