Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Epsilon Net S.A. (EPSIL.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.16 - $128.79$41.15
Multi-Stage$12.88 - $14.09$13.48
Blended Fair Value$27.31
Current Price$9.56
Upside185.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.030.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--111.43%201.21%80.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.77%0.54%0.22%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.034.392.64
Cash Retained (M)29.2529.2529.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.03-4.39-2.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.2224.8526.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.2854.2854.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.16$41.15$128.79
Upside / Downside131.78%330.39%1,247.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.1537.4439.8742.4645.2248.1649.61
Payout Ratio16.81%31.44%46.08%60.72%75.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.9111.7718.3725.7934.0843.3545.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10.8010.9011.01
Year 2 PV (M)15.4715.7616.06
Year 3 PV (M)19.9220.4921.07
Year 4 PV (M)24.1525.0826.04
Year 5 PV (M)28.1929.5530.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)600.75629.77659.89
Equity Value (M)699.28731.55765.03
Shares Outstanding (M)54.2854.2854.28
Fair Value$12.88$13.48$14.09
Upside / Downside34.75%40.97%47.42%

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