Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Elos Medtech AB (publ) (ELOS-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$151.41 - $360.17$223.61
Multi-Stage$106.84 - $116.78$111.72
Blended Fair Value$167.66
Current Price$213.00
Upside-21.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.001.570.001.040.001.020.782.351.570.78
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%30.00%-66.67%50.00%100.00%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.53%0.00%1.50%0.00%1.48%0.93%2.47%1.78%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.996.874.12
Cash Retained (M)46.8546.8546.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.99-6.87-4.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.8639.9842.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.645.185.53
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.645.185.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.696.226.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Fair Value$151.41$223.61$360.17
Upside / Downside-28.91%4.98%69.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.9558.4962.2566.2570.5275.0577.31
Payout Ratio14.74%29.79%44.84%59.90%74.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.1017.4227.9239.6852.8567.5571.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.43%6.43%7.43%
Year 1 PV (M)15.7815.9316.08
Year 2 PV (M)22.8923.3323.77
Year 3 PV (M)29.4630.3131.17
Year 4 PV (M)35.5336.9038.31
Year 5 PV (M)41.1243.1145.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)680.50713.39747.54
Equity Value (M)825.29862.97902.04
Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
Fair Value$106.84$111.72$116.78
Upside / Downside-49.84%-47.55%-45.17%

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