DDM Analysis: ELCO.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.94 - $1.56	$1.22
Multi-Stage	$0.99 - $1.08	$1.03
Blended Fair Value	$1.13
Current Price	$1.63
Upside	-30.92%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.32%	0.00%	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-39.21%	121.91%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	46.28%	-4.57%	77.48%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.54%	1.57%	0.86%	0.64%	0.00%	0.42%	0.33%	0.58%	0.44%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.32	0.83	0.50
Cash Retained (M)	5.17	5.17	5.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.32	-0.83	-0.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.84	4.34	4.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	83.33	83.33	83.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.05	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.05	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.06	0.07	0.07
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	2.99%	3.99%	4.99%
Fair Value	$0.94	$1.22	$1.56
Upside / Downside	-42.12%	-25.31%	-4.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6.62	6.88	7.15	7.44	7.74	8.04	8.29
Payout Ratio	21.89%	35.51%	49.13%	62.75%	76.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.45	2.44	3.51	4.67	5.91	7.24	7.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	2.99%	3.99%	4.99%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.20	2.22	2.24
Year 2 PV (M)	2.85	2.91	2.97
Year 3 PV (M)	3.41	3.52	3.62
Year 4 PV (M)	3.89	4.05	4.21
Year 5 PV (M)	4.30	4.51	4.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	65.75	69.01	72.39
Equity Value (M)	82.42	86.21	90.16
Shares Outstanding (M)	83.33	83.33	83.33
Fair Value	$0.99	$1.03	$1.08
Upside / Downside	-39.32%	-36.52%	-33.62%

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Eleco Plc (ELCO.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener