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Definitive Analysis

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Ditto (Thailand) Public Company Limited (DITTO-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.93 - $155.88$146.08
Multi-Stage$20.85 - $22.82$21.82
Blended Fair Value$83.95
Current Price$9.50
Upside783.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.250.010.010.120.090.000.060.050.100.00
YoY Growth--2,856.51%20.02%-93.89%28.19%0.00%-100.00%21.29%-47.12%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.30%0.04%0.02%0.22%1.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.94%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)542.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)173.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)369.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.5967.8740.72
Cash Retained (M)369.54369.54369.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.59-67.87-40.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)260.95301.67328.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)692.73692.73692.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.93$146.08$155.88
Upside / Downside425.58%1,437.67%1,540.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)542.96578.25615.84655.86698.50743.90766.22
Payout Ratio31.94%43.55%55.16%66.78%78.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)173.42251.84339.72437.96547.54669.51708.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)233.53235.75237.96
Year 2 PV (M)292.13297.70303.31
Year 3 PV (M)349.24359.27369.48
Year 4 PV (M)404.89420.46436.47
Year 5 PV (M)459.10481.28504.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,706.5113,320.2413,957.46
Equity Value (M)14,445.4115,114.6915,808.99
Shares Outstanding (M)692.73692.73692.73
Fair Value$20.85$21.82$22.82
Upside / Downside119.50%129.67%140.22%

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