Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Century Textiles and Industries Limited (CENTURYTEX.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.41 - $65.46$56.50
Multi-Stage$111.78 - $123.15$117.35
Blended Fair Value$86.92
Current Price$2,850.05
Upside-96.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.26%0.92%4.974.011.033.027.526.525.515.515.014.59
YoY Growth--24.02%289.20%-65.91%-59.79%15.39%18.18%0.00%10.03%9.17%1.19%
Dividend Yield--0.22%0.47%0.13%0.49%2.55%1.57%1.42%1.15%1.74%1.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)972.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)556.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)416.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)194.42121.5172.91
Cash Retained (M)416.00416.00416.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-194.42-121.51-72.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)221.58294.49343.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.43111.43111.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.643.08
LTM Dividend per Share4.994.994.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.643.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.987.638.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate-6.15%-5.15%-4.15%
Fair Value$47.41$56.50$65.46
Upside / Downside-98.34%-98.02%-97.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)972.10922.02874.53829.48786.75746.22768.61
Payout Ratio57.21%63.76%70.32%76.88%83.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)556.10587.93615.00637.72656.48671.60710.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate-6.15%-5.15%-4.15%
Year 1 PV (M)540.32546.07551.83
Year 2 PV (M)519.43530.55541.80
Year 3 PV (M)495.00510.99527.33
Year 4 PV (M)468.29488.57509.50
Year 5 PV (M)440.28464.24489.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,992.0010,535.8111,103.05
Equity Value (M)12,455.3113,076.2513,722.74
Shares Outstanding (M)111.43111.43111.43
Fair Value$111.78$117.35$123.15
Upside / Downside-96.08%-95.88%-95.68%

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