Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CARE Ratings Limited (CARERATING.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$542.63 - $865.31$689.15
Multi-Stage$592.68 - $648.86$620.25
Blended Fair Value$654.70
Current Price$1,788.20
Upside-63.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-11.88%-14.87%18.2422.2219.8512.7213.2134.3364.9032.9832.9630.24
YoY Growth---17.90%11.92%56.04%-3.70%-61.51%-47.10%96.78%0.05%8.99%-66.87%
Dividend Yield--1.02%2.04%2.83%3.03%1.87%8.18%6.88%2.63%2.06%3.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,528.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)220.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,308.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)305.72191.08114.65
Cash Retained (M)1,308.031,308.031,308.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-305.72-191.08-114.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,002.301,116.951,193.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.1030.1030.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share33.3037.1139.65
LTM Dividend per Share7.337.337.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share33.3037.1139.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend40.6344.4446.97
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate2.44%3.44%4.44%
Fair Value$542.63$689.15$865.31
Upside / Downside-69.65%-61.46%-51.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,528.621,581.201,635.601,691.871,750.071,810.281,864.59
Payout Ratio14.43%29.54%44.66%59.77%74.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)220.59467.16730.431,011.271,310.561,629.251,724.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate2.44%3.44%4.44%
Year 1 PV (M)420.16424.27428.37
Year 2 PV (M)590.87602.46614.16
Year 3 PV (M)735.75757.51779.69
Year 4 PV (M)857.58891.56926.54
Year 5 PV (M)958.881,006.601,056.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,277.0314,987.6115,726.22
Equity Value (M)17,840.2718,670.0119,531.19
Shares Outstanding (M)30.1030.1030.10
Fair Value$592.68$620.25$648.86
Upside / Downside-66.86%-65.31%-63.71%

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