Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,511.96 - $32,194.01$10,201.42
Multi-Stage$3,203.27 - $3,504.92$3,351.34
Blended Fair Value$6,776.38
Current Price$2,590.00
Upside161.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS140.38%0.00%18.559.2416.410.005.520.230.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.83%-43.73%0.00%-100.00%2,290.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.36%0.98%0.00%0.25%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,493,515.60933,447.25560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.006,416,695.006,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,493,515.60-933,447.25-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,923,179.405,483,247.755,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
LTM Dividend per Share22.7822.7822.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.50141.65149.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,511.96$10,201.42$32,194.01
Upside / Downside112.82%293.88%1,143.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,467,578.007,952,970.578,469,913.669,020,458.049,606,787.8210,231,229.0310,538,165.90
Payout Ratio14.07%29.26%44.44%59.63%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050,883.002,326,887.023,764,331.585,378,812.837,187,272.359,208,106.129,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,134,714.972,154,949.232,175,183.50
Year 2 PV (M)3,168,232.663,228,578.603,289,493.83
Year 3 PV (M)4,153,174.954,272,397.684,393,880.49
Year 4 PV (M)5,091,227.385,287,021.625,488,409.56
Year 5 PV (M)5,984,023.716,273,054.296,573,146.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,236,097.06133,381,648.12139,762,403.89
Equity Value (M)147,767,470.74154,597,649.55161,682,518.03
Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
Fair Value$3,203.27$3,351.34$3,504.92
Upside / Downside23.68%29.40%35.33%

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