Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Breedon Group plc (BREE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.92 - $62.25$27.02
Multi-Stage$10.43 - $11.38$10.90
Blended Fair Value$18.96
Current Price$3.86
Upside391.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.140.110.090.020.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--28.46%23.28%263.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.16%3.06%2.91%0.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)185.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)129.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.0623.1613.90
Cash Retained (M)55.4055.4055.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.06-23.16-13.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.3432.2441.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)343.12343.12343.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.090.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.090.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate8.36%8.36%8.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.92$27.02$62.25
Upside / Downside312.49%599.94%1,512.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)185.30197.34210.17223.83238.38253.88261.49
Payout Ratio70.10%74.08%78.06%82.04%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)129.90146.20164.06183.63205.06228.49241.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.36%8.36%8.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)133.65134.91136.18
Year 2 PV (M)137.11139.72142.35
Year 3 PV (M)140.29144.32148.42
Year 4 PV (M)143.21148.72154.38
Year 5 PV (M)145.88152.92160.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,879.623,018.713,163.12
Equity Value (M)3,579.753,739.303,904.69
Shares Outstanding (M)343.12343.12343.12
Fair Value$10.43$10.90$11.38
Upside / Downside170.28%182.33%194.82%

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