Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Brederode S.A. (BREB.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$410.27 - $2,103.60$736.73
Multi-Stage$296.65 - $324.95$310.54
Blended Fair Value$523.64
Current Price$118.20
Upside343.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.53%7.64%1.291.221.151.081.020.940.850.770.700.63
YoY Growth--5.73%6.08%6.48%5.89%8.49%10.60%10.37%10.04%11.53%1.60%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.20%1.06%0.85%1.26%1.26%1.69%1.54%1.68%1.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)373.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)295.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.6746.6728.00
Cash Retained (M)295.41295.41295.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.67-46.67-28.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)220.74248.74267.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.3129.3129.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.538.499.12
LTM Dividend per Share2.662.662.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.538.499.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1911.1511.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.53%5.53%6.53%
Fair Value$410.27$736.73$2,103.60
Upside / Downside247.10%523.29%1,679.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)373.36394.01415.80438.80463.06488.67503.33
Payout Ratio20.88%34.70%48.53%62.35%76.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.95136.73201.77273.59352.74439.81465.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.53%5.53%6.53%
Year 1 PV (M)126.42127.63128.84
Year 2 PV (M)172.50175.82179.17
Year 3 PV (M)216.27222.54228.93
Year 4 PV (M)257.82267.83278.12
Year 5 PV (M)297.22311.72326.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,623.497,995.198,381.24
Equity Value (M)8,693.739,100.729,523.07
Shares Outstanding (M)29.3129.3129.31
Fair Value$296.65$310.54$324.95
Upside / Downside150.98%162.73%174.92%

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