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Amata VN Public Company Limited (AMATAV.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.41 - $48.87$45.80
Multi-Stage$7.29 - $7.98$7.63
Blended Fair Value$26.72
Current Price$2.44
Upside994.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-32.78%-9.33%0.010.060.050.000.050.080.030.050.140.00
YoY Growth---82.36%40.00%0.00%-100.00%-44.45%200.00%-40.00%-66.67%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.32%1.34%0.78%0.00%0.81%2.45%0.61%0.67%1.89%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)248.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)195.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.7831.1118.67
Cash Retained (M)195.62195.62195.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.78-31.11-18.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)145.83164.50176.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,012.881,012.881,012.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.41$45.80$48.87
Upside / Downside818.48%1,777.08%1,902.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)248.91265.09282.32300.67320.21341.03351.26
Payout Ratio21.41%35.13%48.85%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.2993.12137.90188.11244.27306.93324.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)86.6887.5088.32
Year 2 PV (M)119.48121.75124.05
Year 3 PV (M)151.70156.06160.49
Year 4 PV (M)183.36190.41197.66
Year 5 PV (M)214.45224.80235.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,627.256,947.357,279.70
Equity Value (M)7,382.917,727.878,085.78
Shares Outstanding (M)1,012.881,012.881,012.88
Fair Value$7.29$7.63$7.98
Upside / Downside198.73%212.69%227.17%

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