Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IX Knowledge Incorporated (9753.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,315.06 - $8,084.70$4,936.22
Multi-Stage$3,197.11 - $3,505.96$3,348.64
Blended Fair Value$4,142.43
Current Price$1,525.00
Upside171.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS7.58%0.00%29.8730.1820.5415.6715.5920.730.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.04%46.96%31.09%0.51%-24.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.68%2.69%1.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,482.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,339.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)296.42185.26111.16
Cash Retained (M)1,339.691,339.691,339.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-296.42-185.26-111.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,043.271,154.421,228.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.579.579.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share109.07120.69128.43
LTM Dividend per Share14.8914.8914.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share109.07120.69128.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend123.96135.58143.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate3.51%4.51%5.51%
Fair Value$3,315.06$4,936.22$8,084.70
Upside / Downside117.38%223.69%430.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,482.111,548.991,618.891,691.941,768.281,848.071,903.52
Payout Ratio9.61%25.69%41.77%57.84%73.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.42397.90676.14978.681,307.151,663.271,760.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate3.51%4.51%5.51%
Year 1 PV (M)366.99370.54374.09
Year 2 PV (M)575.19586.36597.64
Year 3 PV (M)767.91790.38813.28
Year 4 PV (M)945.98983.071,021.24
Year 5 PV (M)1,110.221,164.891,221.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,815.4728,136.0229,508.08
Equity Value (M)30,581.7732,031.2633,536.03
Shares Outstanding (M)9.579.579.57
Fair Value$3,197.11$3,348.64$3,505.96
Upside / Downside109.65%119.58%129.90%

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