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Definitive Analysis

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IHI Corporation (7013.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,102.02 - $23,313.68$21,839.88
Multi-Stage$11,208.28 - $12,348.85$11,767.47
Blended Fair Value$16,803.68
Current Price$2,760.00
Upside508.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.03%0.91%14.3014.2911.434.292.8110.188.724.360.028.72
YoY Growth--0.07%25.06%166.68%52.23%-72.36%16.77%100.02%28,775.00%-99.83%-33.25%
Dividend Yield--0.64%2.02%2.06%0.83%0.75%4.58%2.35%0.79%0.00%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129,343.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)111,115.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25,868.6016,167.889,700.73
Cash Retained (M)111,115.00111,115.00111,115.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-25,868.60-16,167.88-9,700.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)85,246.4094,947.13101,414.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.711,059.711,059.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share80.4489.6095.70
LTM Dividend per Share17.2017.2017.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share80.4489.6095.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend97.64106.80112.90
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate1.25%2.25%3.25%
Fair Value$7,102.02$21,839.88$23,313.68
Upside / Downside157.32%691.30%744.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129,343.00132,251.45135,225.31138,266.03141,375.13144,554.15148,890.77
Payout Ratio14.09%29.27%44.46%59.64%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,228.0038,715.5760,115.3082,457.86105,774.83130,098.73137,723.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate1.25%2.25%3.25%
Year 1 PV (M)37,350.6237,719.5238,088.42
Year 2 PV (M)55,951.1957,061.8758,183.47
Year 3 PV (M)74,040.3576,255.9178,515.23
Year 4 PV (M)91,628.5795,302.5099,085.81
Year 5 PV (M)108,726.09114,202.47119,897.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,509,865.1112,089,600.3412,692,464.07
Equity Value (M)11,877,561.9312,470,142.6013,086,234.32
Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.711,059.711,059.71
Fair Value$11,208.28$11,767.47$12,348.85
Upside / Downside306.10%326.36%347.42%

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