Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

GalaxyCore Inc. (688728.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.98 - $17.65$16.54
Multi-Stage$10.47 - $11.48$10.97
Blended Fair Value$13.75
Current Price$17.95
Upside-23.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720132012
DPS-34.38%0.00%0.010.030.070.050.030.050.020.000.020.00
YoY Growth---80.59%-54.55%42.81%48.26%-34.87%135.43%547.05%-81.83%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.18%0.39%0.23%0.09%0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)228.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)186.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.7828.6117.17
Cash Retained (M)42.2842.2842.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.78-28.61-17.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.5013.6725.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,579.112,579.112,579.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate1.93%1.93%1.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.98$16.54$17.65
Upside / Downside-16.55%-7.86%-1.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)228.88243.76259.61276.48294.45313.59323.00
Payout Ratio81.53%83.22%84.92%86.61%88.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)186.61202.87220.45239.46260.02282.23298.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.93%1.93%1.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)197.15199.02200.89
Year 2 PV (M)208.20212.17216.17
Year 3 PV (M)219.78226.09232.52
Year 4 PV (M)231.92240.84250.01
Year 5 PV (M)244.64256.46268.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,897.8327,148.7028,447.45
Equity Value (M)26,999.5228,283.2729,615.76
Shares Outstanding (M)2,579.112,579.112,579.11
Fair Value$10.47$10.97$11.48
Upside / Downside-41.68%-38.91%-36.03%

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