Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Chengdu Xgimi Technology Co.,Ltd. (688696.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.80 - $71.48$55.42
Multi-Stage$43.71 - $47.89$45.76
Blended Fair Value$50.59
Current Price$119.60
Upside-57.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS53.76%0.00%0.362.232.281.190.900.040.040.020.000.00
YoY Growth---83.82%-2.19%92.47%31.40%2,047.60%-3.93%97.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%2.45%1.18%0.45%0.27%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)240.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)235.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.0230.0218.01
Cash Retained (M)235.63235.63235.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.02-30.02-18.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)187.60205.61217.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)67.9967.9967.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.763.023.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.763.023.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.833.093.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate2.99%3.99%4.99%
Fair Value$42.80$55.42$71.48
Upside / Downside-64.21%-53.66%-40.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)240.12249.70259.66270.01280.78291.97300.73
Payout Ratio1.87%19.50%37.12%54.75%72.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.4948.6896.39147.83203.21262.77278.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate2.99%3.99%4.99%
Year 1 PV (M)43.9244.3444.77
Year 2 PV (M)78.4479.9781.52
Year 3 PV (M)108.52111.71114.97
Year 4 PV (M)134.58139.88145.34
Year 5 PV (M)156.99164.76172.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,448.972,570.202,696.18
Equity Value (M)2,971.413,110.873,255.61
Shares Outstanding (M)67.9967.9967.99
Fair Value$43.71$45.76$47.89
Upside / Downside-63.46%-61.74%-59.96%

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