Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Jibeier Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (688566.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.77 - $242.80$227.54
Multi-Stage$35.57 - $38.92$37.21
Blended Fair Value$132.38
Current Price$35.69
Upside270.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS56.81%0.00%0.520.230.450.450.230.050.850.030.020.00
YoY Growth--129.46%-50.00%0.00%100.00%313.22%-93.58%3,272.69%36.40%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.17%0.90%1.57%2.23%1.02%0.12%1.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)137.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.3330.2118.13
Cash Retained (M)137.96137.96137.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.33-30.21-18.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.63107.76119.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.95197.95197.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.540.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.540.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$99.77$227.54$242.80
Upside / Downside179.54%537.55%580.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241.67257.38274.11291.92310.90331.11341.04
Payout Ratio42.91%52.33%61.75%71.16%80.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.70134.68169.25207.75250.53298.00315.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)125.24126.42127.61
Year 2 PV (M)146.34149.13151.94
Year 3 PV (M)167.03171.82176.71
Year 4 PV (M)187.30194.50201.91
Year 5 PV (M)207.16217.17227.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,207.616,507.446,818.74
Equity Value (M)7,040.687,366.487,704.47
Shares Outstanding (M)197.95197.95197.95
Fair Value$35.57$37.21$38.92
Upside / Downside-0.34%4.27%9.06%

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