Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc. (688111.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72.26 - $153.43$102.62
Multi-Stage$51.53 - $56.34$53.89
Blended Fair Value$78.26
Current Price$316.50
Upside-75.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.880.730.700.600.300.000.400.030.000.00
YoY Growth--20.66%4.35%16.67%100.00%0.00%-100.00%1,063.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.29%0.24%0.15%0.32%0.09%0.00%0.31%0.03%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,783.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,768.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)356.73222.96133.77
Cash Retained (M)1,768.261,768.261,768.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-356.73-222.96-133.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,411.531,545.301,634.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)463.74463.74463.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.043.333.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.043.333.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.083.373.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$72.26$102.62$153.43
Upside / Downside-77.17%-67.58%-51.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,783.641,899.582,023.052,154.552,294.592,443.742,517.06
Payout Ratio0.86%18.69%36.52%54.35%72.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.38355.03738.771,170.891,656.072,199.372,328.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)319.75322.78325.81
Year 2 PV (M)599.22610.63622.15
Year 3 PV (M)855.33879.88904.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,089.521,131.421,174.51
Year 5 PV (M)1,303.151,366.091,431.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,728.2820,681.1621,670.51
Equity Value (M)23,895.2424,991.9726,129.34
Shares Outstanding (M)463.74463.74463.74
Fair Value$51.53$53.89$56.34
Upside / Downside-83.72%-82.97%-82.20%

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