Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Chunghwa Precision Test Tech. Co., Ltd. (6510.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$205.94 - $291.68$248.28
Multi-Stage$310.05 - $340.31$324.89
Blended Fair Value$286.58
Current Price$1,925.00
Upside-85.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-45.07%0.00%0.5011.7213.5611.979.979.970.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---95.74%-13.60%13.33%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.08%2.29%2.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,034.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)255.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)778.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)206.89129.3077.58
Cash Retained (M)778.67778.67778.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-206.89-129.30-77.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)571.79649.37701.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.8832.8832.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.3919.7521.32
LTM Dividend per Share7.787.787.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.3919.7521.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.1727.5329.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$205.94$248.28$291.68
Upside / Downside-89.30%-87.10%-84.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,034.431,024.081,013.841,003.70993.66983.731,013.24
Payout Ratio24.72%37.78%50.83%63.89%76.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)255.75386.89515.38641.26764.57885.36937.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)348.24351.79355.34
Year 2 PV (M)417.54426.11434.76
Year 3 PV (M)467.62482.08496.84
Year 4 PV (M)501.83522.63544.07
Year 5 PV (M)523.05550.29578.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,935.048,348.248,778.47
Equity Value (M)10,193.3210,681.1311,188.13
Shares Outstanding (M)32.8832.8832.88
Fair Value$310.05$324.89$340.31
Upside / Downside-83.89%-83.12%-82.32%

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