Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fujian Torch Electron Technology Co., Ltd. (603678.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.78 - $123.45$115.69
Multi-Stage$81.22 - $89.14$85.11
Blended Fair Value$100.40
Current Price$38.87
Upside158.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.16%13.98%0.290.420.560.340.210.140.200.110.100.09
YoY Growth---32.39%-23.71%65.61%59.01%49.09%-29.00%79.67%12.43%12.36%13.44%
Dividend Yield--0.72%1.94%1.34%0.65%0.37%0.63%0.93%0.41%0.32%0.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)288.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)213.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.7736.1121.67
Cash Retained (M)213.00213.00213.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.77-36.11-21.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.23176.89191.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)465.36465.36465.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.380.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.380.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$104.78$115.69$123.45
Upside / Downside169.57%197.64%217.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)288.87307.65327.65348.94371.63395.78407.65
Payout Ratio26.27%39.01%51.76%64.51%77.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.87120.02169.59225.09287.09356.20377.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.38%-0.38%-0.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)119.35120.48121.61
Year 2 PV (M)167.69170.88174.10
Year 3 PV (M)221.32227.67234.14
Year 4 PV (M)280.69291.49302.59
Year 5 PV (M)346.31363.03380.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,660.3438,431.0440,269.52
Equity Value (M)37,795.6839,604.5941,482.37
Shares Outstanding (M)465.36465.36465.36
Fair Value$81.22$85.11$89.14
Upside / Downside108.95%118.95%129.33%

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