Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shanghai Bloom Technology, Inc. (603325.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$971.14 - $1,144.16$1,072.25
Multi-Stage$682.96 - $749.67$715.69
Blended Fair Value$893.97
Current Price$85.69
Upside943.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS23.52%0.00%1.100.000.640.010.000.380.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--496,126.86%-99.97%10,660.78%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%0.00%1.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)449.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)409.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.9256.2033.72
Cash Retained (M)409.75409.75409.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.92-56.20-33.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)319.84353.56376.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.1578.1578.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.094.524.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.094.524.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.605.035.32
WACC / Discount Rate1.53%1.53%1.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$971.14$1,072.25$1,144.16
Upside / Downside1,033.31%1,151.31%1,235.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)449.58478.81509.93543.07578.37615.97634.45
Payout Ratio8.86%25.09%41.32%57.54%73.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.83120.12210.68312.51426.68554.37586.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.53%1.53%1.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)117.20118.31119.42
Year 2 PV (M)200.55204.37208.23
Year 3 PV (M)290.24298.57307.06
Year 4 PV (M)386.64401.51416.80
Year 5 PV (M)490.13513.80538.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,885.2454,391.3256,993.31
Equity Value (M)53,370.0055,927.8858,583.20
Shares Outstanding (M)78.1578.1578.15
Fair Value$682.96$715.69$749.67
Upside / Downside697.01%735.21%774.86%

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