Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (601888.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.88 - $82.66$51.44
Multi-Stage$25.86 - $28.18$27.00
Blended Fair Value$39.22
Current Price$71.57
Upside-45.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.64%24.51%1.690.801.420.940.680.520.490.470.240.22
YoY Growth--111.32%-43.49%50.00%38.89%30.91%5.77%4.00%100.00%8.69%15.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%0.91%0.77%0.57%0.22%0.77%0.70%0.89%0.83%0.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,399.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,107.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,292.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)679.96424.97254.98
Cash Retained (M)1,292.381,292.381,292.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-679.96-424.97-254.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)612.42867.401,037.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,068.862,068.862,068.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.420.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.021.021.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.420.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.441.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34.88$51.44$82.66
Upside / Downside-51.27%-28.12%15.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,399.783,620.763,856.114,106.764,373.704,657.994,797.73
Payout Ratio61.99%67.59%73.19%78.79%84.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,107.402,447.242,822.363,235.903,691.284,192.194,437.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,214.412,235.402,256.39
Year 2 PV (M)2,310.862,354.872,399.30
Year 3 PV (M)2,397.382,466.202,536.33
Year 4 PV (M)2,474.572,569.732,667.62
Year 5 PV (M)2,542.982,665.812,793.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,563.8643,571.4145,655.80
Equity Value (M)53,504.0655,863.4358,308.77
Shares Outstanding (M)2,068.862,068.862,068.86
Fair Value$25.86$27.00$28.18
Upside / Downside-63.87%-62.27%-60.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 18 of 30 Next »
Ticker ⇵ Company ⇵ Dividend Yield % ▼ Dividend Per Share ⇵ Payout Ratio % ⇵
HBCPHome Bancorp, Inc.1.92%$1.1019.54%
SLMSLM Corporation1.92%$0.5317.47%
UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc.1.92%$0.6114.30%
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation1.92%$1.6420.05%
0JZ1.LMasco Corporation1.91%$1.2331.44%
0L8B.LSouthern Copper Corporation1.91%$2.8060.30%
BKRBaker Hughes Company1.91%$0.9030.82%
BPACBullpen Parlay Acquisition Company1.91%$0.2036.09%
ELVElevance Health Inc.1.91%$6.7527.56%
NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.1.91%$0.4723.70%
SYBTStock Yards Bancorp, Inc.1.91%$1.2527.22%
0JVQ.LLowe's Companies, Inc.1.90%$4.6738.55%
ATERXAB Sustainable Global Thematic Fund Class R1.90%$2.8436.57%
BLLBall Corporation1.90%$1.329.47%
EAIEntergy Arkansas, Inc. 1M BD 4.875%661.90%$0.409.71%
MMCMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.1.90%$3.4741.48%
THOThor Industries, Inc.1.90%$2.0037.63%
TRGPTarga Resources Corp.1.90%$3.5546.50%
TTCThe Toro Company1.90%$1.5245.26%
0K8M.LNorfolk Southern Corporation1.89%$5.4241.12%
FDXFedEx Corporation1.89%$5.5432.63%
ALLThe Allstate Corporation1.87%$3.8112.13%
BERYBerry Global Group, Inc.1.87%$1.2624.23%
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation1.87%$2.4437.72%
PRDOPerdoceo Education Corporation1.87%$0.5423.03%
ABTAbbott Laboratories1.86%$2.3128.93%
TNETTriNet Group, Inc.1.86%$1.0638.35%
BTMDbiote Corp.1.85%$0.055.82%
WDFCWD-40 Company1.85%$3.6554.36%
AMTBAmerant Bancorp Inc.1.84%$0.3622.80%
BNHBrookfield Finance Inc. 4.625%1.84%$0.3070.51%
MGRCMcGrath RentCorp1.84%$1.9332.75%
NATINational Instruments Corporation1.84%$1.1082.38%
OTISOtis Worldwide Corporation1.84%$1.6347.44%
WSWorthington Steel, Inc.1.84%$0.6526.98%
KBHKB Home1.83%$1.0513.68%
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation1.83%$1.2726.69%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies1.82%$6.3647.91%
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.1.82%$1.3027.90%
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.1.82%$2.7354.40%
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.1.81%$1.1851.99%
HNVRHanover Bancorp, Inc.1.80%$0.4126.32%
TSCOTractor Supply Company1.79%$0.9143.76%
CLIMack-Cali Realty Corporation1.78%$0.3321.71%
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.1.78%$1.1260.48%
SBRSabine Royalty Trust1.78%$1.2523.02%
TMUST-Mobile US, Inc.1.78%$3.5533.70%
BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc.1.77%$0.8021.59%
DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated1.77%$3.0735.81%
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.1.77%$5.7527.69%