Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. (601138.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.50 - $53.03$36.83
Multi-Stage$20.85 - $22.80$21.81
Blended Fair Value$29.32
Current Price$66.01
Upside-55.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.13%0.00%0.690.670.500.250.200.130.040.100.020.02
YoY Growth--4.25%34.14%99.14%24.97%55.25%266.60%-64.33%431.92%-23.48%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.50%2.86%2.89%2.46%1.39%0.97%0.23%0.50%0.09%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,553.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,600.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,952.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,110.653,819.162,291.49
Cash Retained (M)28,952.3828,952.3828,952.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,110.65-3,819.16-2,291.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,841.7325,133.2226,660.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19,902.3719,902.3719,902.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.151.261.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.151.261.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.231.341.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate4.92%5.92%6.92%
Fair Value$26.50$36.83$53.03
Upside / Downside-59.86%-44.21%-19.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,553.2632,362.8734,279.6636,309.9738,460.5440,738.4841,960.63
Payout Ratio5.24%22.19%39.14%56.10%73.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,600.887,181.8713,418.3520,368.3928,094.6236,664.6338,813.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate4.92%5.92%6.92%
Year 1 PV (M)6,479.956,541.706,603.46
Year 2 PV (M)10,923.6111,132.8311,344.03
Year 3 PV (M)14,960.8815,392.7415,832.83
Year 4 PV (M)18,619.0419,339.0720,079.79
Year 5 PV (M)21,923.7522,988.6124,094.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)342,009.63358,621.43375,872.53
Equity Value (M)414,916.86434,016.38453,827.09
Shares Outstanding (M)19,902.3719,902.3719,902.37
Fair Value$20.85$21.81$22.80
Upside / Downside-68.42%-66.96%-65.46%

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