DDM Analysis: 600666.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.15 - $0.20	$0.18
Multi-Stage	$0.28 - $0.31	$0.30
Blended Fair Value	$0.24
Current Price	$3.34
Upside	-92.87%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-59.14%	-34.38%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	311.20%	-82.01%	-45.04%	11.72%	59.60%	18.39%	12.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.01%	0.00%	0.00%	0.86%	0.19%	0.77%	0.70%	0.15%	0.09%	0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	146.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	146.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	29.39	18.37	11.02
Cash Retained (M)	146.62	146.62	146.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-29.39	-18.37	-11.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)	117.23	128.25	135.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,596.31	2,596.31	2,596.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.05	0.05	0.05
WACC / Discount Rate	9.83%	9.83%	9.83%
Growth Rate	-15.02%	-14.02%	-13.02%
Fair Value	$0.15	$0.18	$0.20
Upside / Downside	-95.36%	-94.65%	-94.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	146.95	126.35	108.64	93.41	80.31	69.05	71.13
Payout Ratio	0.22%	18.18%	36.13%	54.09%	72.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.33	22.97	39.25	50.52	57.86	62.15	65.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.83%	9.83%	9.83%
Growth Rate	-15.02%	-14.02%	-13.02%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.67	20.91	21.16
Year 2 PV (M)	31.79	32.54	33.30
Year 3 PV (M)	36.82	38.14	39.48
Year 4 PV (M)	37.95	39.77	41.65
Year 5 PV (M)	36.68	38.89	41.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)	568.76	603.02	638.92
Equity Value (M)	732.68	773.28	815.72
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,596.31	2,596.31	2,596.31
Fair Value	$0.28	$0.30	$0.31
Upside / Downside	-91.55%	-91.08%	-90.59%

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Aurora Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd. (600666.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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