Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sino-Platinum Metals Co.,Ltd (600459.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Other Precious MetalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.99 - $30.55$20.98
Multi-Stage$11.02 - $12.04$11.52
Blended Fair Value$16.25
Current Price$17.27
Upside-5.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.68%17.28%0.350.290.380.370.300.230.200.110.080.08
YoY Growth--20.44%-25.44%3.87%21.69%33.59%14.53%76.93%46.83%-7.64%18.12%
Dividend Yield--2.48%1.90%2.38%1.95%2.01%2.32%1.63%1.18%0.63%0.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)634.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)558.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.9679.3547.61
Cash Retained (M)558.47558.47558.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.96-79.35-47.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)431.51479.12510.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)753.44753.44753.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate10.24%10.24%10.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.99$20.98$30.55
Upside / Downside-13.18%21.47%76.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)634.82676.08720.02766.83816.67869.75895.85
Payout Ratio12.03%27.62%43.22%58.81%74.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.35186.74311.17450.98607.65782.78828.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.24%10.24%10.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)167.80169.39170.98
Year 2 PV (M)251.24256.03260.86
Year 3 PV (M)327.20336.59346.16
Year 4 PV (M)396.15411.39427.06
Year 5 PV (M)458.57480.72503.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,702.467,026.207,362.32
Equity Value (M)8,303.438,680.319,071.09
Shares Outstanding (M)753.44753.44753.44
Fair Value$11.02$11.52$12.04
Upside / Downside-36.19%-33.29%-30.29%

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