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Definitive Analysis

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Daito Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (4577.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,322.09 - $7,835.79$3,801.31
Multi-Stage$3,619.16 - $3,980.69$3,796.45
Blended Fair Value$3,798.88
Current Price$1,232.00
Upside208.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.73%7.91%43.9239.9140.9729.0428.9622.0919.8318.1516.5116.48
YoY Growth--10.03%-2.58%41.06%0.29%31.07%11.39%9.25%9.94%0.18%-19.64%
Dividend Yield--3.56%3.36%3.58%2.40%1.76%1.41%1.42%1.25%1.31%1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,987.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)232.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,755.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)397.40248.38149.03
Cash Retained (M)1,755.001,755.001,755.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-397.40-248.38-149.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,357.601,506.631,605.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.7322.7322.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.7466.3070.67
LTM Dividend per Share10.2110.2110.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.7466.3070.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend69.9576.5180.88
WACC / Discount Rate5.12%5.12%5.12%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Fair Value$2,322.09$3,801.31$7,835.79
Upside / Downside88.48%208.55%536.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,987.002,047.522,109.882,174.142,240.362,308.602,377.86
Payout Ratio11.68%27.34%43.01%58.67%74.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)232.00559.81907.371,275.581,665.382,077.742,199.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.12%5.12%5.12%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Year 1 PV (M)527.37532.54537.71
Year 2 PV (M)805.27821.13837.15
Year 3 PV (M)1,066.471,098.131,130.41
Year 4 PV (M)1,311.701,363.881,417.60
Year 5 PV (M)1,541.681,618.721,698.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,994.3380,841.5384,841.01
Equity Value (M)82,246.8486,275.9490,462.68
Shares Outstanding (M)22.7322.7322.73
Fair Value$3,619.16$3,796.45$3,980.69
Upside / Downside193.76%208.15%223.11%

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