Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wasion Holdings Limited (3393.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$107.01 - $291.78$273.44
Multi-Stage$40.51 - $44.36$42.40
Blended Fair Value$157.92
Current Price$7.61
Upside1,975.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.78%4.88%0.260.210.170.170.180.220.200.210.210.19
YoY Growth--23.27%22.39%2.22%-8.50%-18.73%9.45%-0.75%-1.00%7.50%21.43%
Dividend Yield--3.83%5.92%7.40%5.97%9.48%6.59%6.12%6.48%5.58%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,452.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,195.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290.54181.58108.95
Cash Retained (M)1,195.861,195.861,195.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-290.54-181.58-108.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)905.331,014.281,086.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)990.13990.13990.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$107.01$273.44$291.78
Upside / Downside1,306.24%3,493.19%3,734.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,452.681,547.101,647.661,754.761,868.821,990.302,050.01
Payout Ratio17.68%32.14%46.61%61.07%75.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.82497.29767.931,071.661,411.631,791.271,896.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)461.87466.25470.63
Year 2 PV (M)662.44675.06687.80
Year 3 PV (M)858.61883.26908.37
Year 4 PV (M)1,050.441,090.841,132.39
Year 5 PV (M)1,238.011,297.811,359.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,836.3337,567.2439,364.39
Equity Value (M)40,107.7241,980.4643,923.48
Shares Outstanding (M)990.13990.13990.13
Fair Value$40.51$42.40$44.36
Upside / Downside432.29%457.15%482.93%

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