Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hubei Zhongyi Science Technology Co., Ltd. (301150.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.85 - $1.20$1.02
Multi-Stage$1.32 - $1.45$1.38
Blended Fair Value$1.20
Current Price$41.42
Upside-97.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.06%0.00%0.140.720.750.030.050.030.040.020.030.03
YoY Growth---80.56%-3.59%2,111.12%-33.14%62.22%-13.38%124.31%-50.03%16.69%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%3.35%2.07%0.08%0.11%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.07%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.592.871.72
Cash Retained (M)13.4713.4713.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.59-2.87-1.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.8710.6011.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)179.60179.60179.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.85$1.02$1.20
Upside / Downside-97.96%-97.53%-97.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.9722.7422.5222.2922.0721.8522.50
Payout Ratio41.37%51.10%60.82%70.55%80.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.5011.6213.6915.7317.7119.6620.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.4710.5810.69
Year 2 PV (M)11.1211.3511.58
Year 3 PV (M)11.5111.8612.23
Year 4 PV (M)11.6812.1712.67
Year 5 PV (M)11.6812.2912.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)180.61190.02199.81
Equity Value (M)237.08248.27259.89
Shares Outstanding (M)179.60179.60179.60
Fair Value$1.32$1.38$1.45
Upside / Downside-96.81%-96.66%-96.51%

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