Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Tailin BioEngineering Co.,Ltd (300813.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.93 - $1.32$1.12
Multi-Stage$1.52 - $1.66$1.59
Blended Fair Value$1.35
Current Price$36.52
Upside-96.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-0.87%0.090.230.150.080.270.000.000.130.090.07
YoY Growth---59.54%52.30%82.58%-68.66%0.00%-100.00%-99.71%50.81%26.65%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--0.49%1.14%0.49%0.22%1.35%0.00%0.00%0.79%0.52%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.292.061.23
Cash Retained (M)4.264.264.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.29-2.06-1.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.972.203.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.40117.40117.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.93$1.12$1.32
Upside / Downside-97.46%-96.94%-96.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.4616.2916.1315.9715.8115.6516.12
Payout Ratio74.11%77.29%80.47%83.64%86.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.2012.5912.9813.3613.7314.0914.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.3511.4611.58
Year 2 PV (M)10.5410.7610.97
Year 3 PV (M)9.7710.0710.38
Year 4 PV (M)9.059.429.81
Year 5 PV (M)8.378.809.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)129.14135.86142.86
Equity Value (M)178.21186.38194.87
Shares Outstanding (M)117.40117.40117.40
Fair Value$1.52$1.59$1.66
Upside / Downside-95.84%-95.65%-95.45%

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