Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Konfoong Materials International Co., Ltd (300666.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$260.58 - $385.64$361.40
Multi-Stage$63.46 - $69.51$66.43
Blended Fair Value$213.92
Current Price$101.90
Upside109.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.20%25.78%0.380.210.090.120.050.050.040.030.030.05
YoY Growth--83.29%140.34%-25.42%132.52%3.45%9.43%46.73%-11.09%-25.71%18.22%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.45%0.12%0.21%0.12%0.10%0.09%0.04%0.50%0.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)514.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)379.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.9064.3138.59
Cash Retained (M)379.86379.86379.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.90-64.31-38.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.97315.55341.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)265.32265.32265.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.551.701.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.13%6.13%6.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$260.58$361.40$385.64
Upside / Downside155.72%254.66%278.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)514.49547.94583.55621.48661.88704.90726.05
Payout Ratio26.17%38.93%51.70%64.47%77.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134.63213.33301.70400.65511.19634.41671.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.13%6.13%6.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)199.13201.01202.90
Year 2 PV (M)262.86267.86272.92
Year 3 PV (M)325.82335.18344.71
Year 4 PV (M)388.04402.96418.31
Year 5 PV (M)449.50471.22493.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,212.2415,947.0016,709.88
Equity Value (M)16,837.5917,625.2318,442.47
Shares Outstanding (M)265.32265.32265.32
Fair Value$63.46$66.43$69.51
Upside / Downside-37.72%-34.81%-31.79%

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