Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sunresin New Materials Co.,Ltd (300487.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.43 - $67.15$44.73
Multi-Stage$22.56 - $24.66$23.59
Blended Fair Value$34.16
Current Price$57.70
Upside-40.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS63.00%43.88%0.690.420.190.100.100.060.030.020.040.02
YoY Growth--62.37%127.74%86.83%-3.52%72.63%76.47%51.79%-43.33%86.49%16.76%
Dividend Yield--1.50%0.92%0.29%0.28%0.58%0.46%0.21%0.14%0.36%0.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)842.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)781.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)168.51105.3263.19
Cash Retained (M)781.27781.27781.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-168.51-105.32-63.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)612.76675.95718.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)507.64507.64507.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.331.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.331.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.43$44.73$67.15
Upside / Downside-45.54%-22.47%16.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)842.54897.31955.631,017.751,083.901,154.361,188.99
Payout Ratio7.27%23.82%40.36%56.91%73.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.27213.72385.73579.19796.181,038.921,099.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)192.54194.37196.19
Year 2 PV (M)313.07319.03325.05
Year 3 PV (M)423.50435.66448.05
Year 4 PV (M)524.47544.64565.38
Year 5 PV (M)616.55646.33677.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,380.979,834.0810,304.52
Equity Value (M)11,451.1011,974.1012,516.44
Shares Outstanding (M)507.64507.64507.64
Fair Value$22.56$23.59$24.66
Upside / Downside-60.91%-59.12%-57.27%

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