Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shanghai Huaming Intelligent Terminal Equipment Co., Ltd. (300462.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.35 - $0.43$0.39
Multi-Stage$0.55 - $0.62$0.59
Blended Fair Value$0.49
Current Price$10.76
Upside-95.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-56.75%-32.67%0.000.080.010.170.200.140.080.050.000.06
YoY Growth---97.37%1,465.64%-96.94%-13.85%39.57%86.32%42.86%0.00%-100.00%-49.09%
Dividend Yield--0.02%0.81%0.05%1.47%1.34%0.68%0.41%0.19%0.00%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.634.772.86
Cash Retained (M)37.4437.4437.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.63-4.77-2.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.8132.6734.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)181.45181.45181.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-26.01%-25.01%-24.01%
Fair Value$0.35$0.39$0.43
Upside / Downside-96.79%-96.34%-95.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.1428.6021.4516.0812.069.059.32
Payout Ratio1.84%19.48%37.11%54.74%72.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.705.577.968.808.738.148.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-26.01%-25.01%-24.01%
Year 1 PV (M)5.005.075.13
Year 2 PV (M)6.416.586.76
Year 3 PV (M)6.366.626.89
Year 4 PV (M)5.665.976.29
Year 5 PV (M)4.735.065.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)71.8876.8782.13
Equity Value (M)100.03106.16112.61
Shares Outstanding (M)181.45181.45181.45
Fair Value$0.55$0.59$0.62
Upside / Downside-94.88%-94.56%-94.23%

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