Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Easpring Material Technology CO.,LTD. (300073.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.64 - $43.71$28.36
Multi-Stage$14.14 - $15.44$14.78
Blended Fair Value$21.57
Current Price$66.39
Upside-67.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.99%58.82%0.740.660.420.150.000.130.120.070.010.00
YoY Growth--12.77%57.29%187.18%11,564.36%-99.03%9.98%73.14%885.31%476.28%-83.64%
Dividend Yield--1.78%1.61%0.72%0.19%0.00%0.58%0.41%0.24%0.03%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)510.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)102.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)408.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.0763.7938.28
Cash Retained (M)408.18408.18408.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.07-63.79-38.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)306.12344.39369.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)515.95515.95515.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.670.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.670.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.870.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.64$28.36$43.71
Upside / Downside-70.41%-57.28%-34.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)510.34543.52578.84616.47656.54699.22720.19
Payout Ratio20.02%34.01%48.01%62.01%76.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)102.16184.87277.91382.25498.99629.29666.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)166.87168.45170.03
Year 2 PV (M)226.41230.72235.08
Year 3 PV (M)281.09289.16297.38
Year 4 PV (M)331.20343.93357.04
Year 5 PV (M)377.00395.21414.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,912.526,198.106,494.60
Equity Value (M)7,295.097,625.577,968.24
Shares Outstanding (M)515.95515.95515.95
Fair Value$14.14$14.78$15.44
Upside / Downside-78.70%-77.74%-76.74%

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