Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

EVE Energy Co., Ltd. (300014.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$286.08 - $337.06$315.87
Multi-Stage$196.04 - $215.11$205.40
Blended Fair Value$260.63
Current Price$91.00
Upside186.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS84.19%86.35%0.800.490.350.060.100.040.080.050.020.01
YoY Growth--63.22%41.65%505.47%-41.22%157.67%-54.58%63.39%142.11%79.00%640.69%
Dividend Yield--1.70%1.21%0.50%0.07%0.13%0.12%0.59%0.54%0.22%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,702.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,620.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,081.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)740.52462.83277.70
Cash Retained (M)2,081.822,081.822,081.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-740.52-462.83-277.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,341.291,618.991,804.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,184.682,184.682,184.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.740.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.740.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$286.08$315.87$337.06
Upside / Downside214.38%247.11%270.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,702.623,943.294,199.614,472.584,763.305,072.915,225.10
Payout Ratio43.77%53.02%62.26%71.51%80.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,620.802,090.722,614.873,198.333,846.604,565.624,833.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,026.572,045.782,064.99
Year 2 PV (M)2,456.872,503.672,550.91
Year 3 PV (M)2,912.882,996.503,081.70
Year 4 PV (M)3,395.803,526.393,660.71
Year 5 PV (M)3,906.894,095.594,291.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)413,587.50433,563.94454,304.91
Equity Value (M)428,286.51448,731.86469,954.74
Shares Outstanding (M)2,184.682,184.682,184.68
Fair Value$196.04$205.40$215.11
Upside / Downside115.43%125.71%136.39%

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