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Definitive Analysis

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EDION Corporation (2730.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,398.80 - $4,892.01$3,357.72
Multi-Stage$2,921.83 - $3,204.27$3,060.39
Blended Fair Value$3,209.05
Current Price$2,109.00
Upside52.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.43%6.36%41.3436.4638.0043.0032.7533.2827.1122.5520.8818.69
YoY Growth--13.38%-4.05%-11.61%31.30%-1.61%22.76%20.20%7.99%11.75%-16.28%
Dividend Yield--1.96%2.23%2.61%3.38%3.02%3.05%2.66%2.02%2.05%2.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,432.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,008.201,880.131,128.08
Cash Retained (M)10,432.0010,432.0010,432.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,008.20-1,880.13-1,128.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,423.808,551.889,303.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)108.41108.41108.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share68.4878.8985.82
LTM Dividend per Share42.5242.5242.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share68.4878.8985.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.00121.40128.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Fair Value$2,398.80$3,357.72$4,892.01
Upside / Downside13.74%59.21%131.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,041.0015,557.4816,091.6916,644.2517,215.7717,806.9318,341.14
Payout Ratio30.64%42.51%54.39%66.26%78.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,609.006,614.168,751.5911,028.0013,450.4416,026.2416,965.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Year 1 PV (M)6,111.786,171.446,231.11
Year 2 PV (M)7,472.627,619.247,767.27
Year 3 PV (M)8,701.148,958.479,220.82
Year 4 PV (M)9,806.3910,194.9710,594.98
Year 5 PV (M)10,796.8511,334.2611,892.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)273,858.65287,489.80301,658.42
Equity Value (M)316,747.43331,768.18347,365.46
Shares Outstanding (M)108.41108.41108.41
Fair Value$2,921.83$3,060.39$3,204.27
Upside / Downside38.54%45.11%51.93%

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