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Definitive Analysis

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Gakujo Co., Ltd. (2301.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,333.57 - $27,719.76$25,977.47
Multi-Stage$3,613.76 - $3,955.02$3,781.26
Blended Fair Value$14,879.37
Current Price$1,614.00
Upside821.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.69%11.40%71.8654.2650.2840.5232.5036.2137.9436.1033.3029.21
YoY Growth--32.42%7.93%24.09%24.68%-10.25%-4.57%5.09%8.43%13.98%19.63%
Dividend Yield--4.45%2.40%2.81%2.90%3.35%2.84%1.67%2.84%1.95%2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,892.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)548.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,344.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)378.43236.52141.91
Cash Retained (M)1,344.031,344.031,344.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-378.43-236.52-141.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)965.601,107.511,202.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5813.5813.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.1381.5888.55
LTM Dividend per Share40.3840.3840.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.1381.5888.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.51121.96128.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8,333.57$25,977.47$27,719.76
Upside / Downside416.33%1,509.51%1,617.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,892.162,015.152,146.142,285.642,434.212,592.432,670.20
Payout Ratio28.97%41.17%53.38%65.59%77.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)548.13829.741,145.631,499.091,893.662,333.192,469.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)768.81776.10783.38
Year 2 PV (M)983.561,002.301,021.21
Year 3 PV (M)1,192.511,226.741,261.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,395.771,449.451,504.66
Year 5 PV (M)1,593.451,670.421,750.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,123.8545,206.7547,369.36
Equity Value (M)49,057.9551,331.7453,690.56
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5813.5813.58
Fair Value$3,613.76$3,781.26$3,955.02
Upside / Downside123.90%134.28%145.04%

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